Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.002185 0.002386 0.002588 0.002805 0.003031 0.003259 0.003507
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.001800 0.002097 0.002402 0.002739 0.003100 0.003472 0.003883
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.001512 0.001879 0.002270 0.002712 0.003195 0.003704 0.004276
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.001310 0.001737 0.002204 0.002745 0.003348 0.003993 0.004729
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.001126 0.001596 0.002127 0.002756 0.003470 0.004246 0.005141
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000998 0.001509 0.002101 0.002818 0.003644 0.004552 0.005612
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000883 0.001425 0.002072 0.002869 0.003802 0.004838 0.006058
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000771 0.001335 0.002027 0.002896 0.003928 0.005085 0.006459
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000635 0.001200 0.001918 0.002840 0.003950 0.005210 0.006719
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000541 0.001112 0.001860 0.002839 0.004033 0.005402 0.007052
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000462 0.001037 0.001812 0.002846 0.004123 0.005598 0.007388
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000435 0.001032 0.001856 0.002966 0.004347 0.005951 0.007904
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000400 0.001022 0.001900 0.003102 0.004609 0.006370 0.008524
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000297 0.000891 0.001775 0.003016 0.004601 0.006472 0.008779
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000222 0.000792 0.001687 0.002976 0.004646 0.006637 0.009109
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000734 0.001653 0.003004 0.004774 0.006901 0.009556
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000670 0.001605 0.003010 0.004875 0.007132 0.009964
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000636 0.001599 0.003072 0.005044 0.007445 0.010471
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000600 0.001587 0.003123 0.005199 0.007742 0.010957
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000556 0.001559 0.003150 0.005322 0.007997 0.011393
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000482 0.001473 0.003090 0.005327 0.008106 0.011653
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000014 0.000436 0.001430 0.003088 0.005407 0.008306 0.012022
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000396 0.001394 0.003095 0.005498 0.008518 0.012403